Leads: Trading a promotion for a finesse
                    Last month we investigated scenarios where declarer 
                    promoted long suits to establish extra tricks. They say 
                    imitation is the most sincere form of flattery – and so when 
                    the opening leader makes a fourth-best lead, indeed the 
                    defenders are attempting to promote their suit. Leading a 
                    long suit helps your side get a step ahead in winning the 
                    promotion race. However, since the powerful declarer holds 
                    honors, we may finesse ourself or our partner when trying to 
                    promote our suit. So it’s occasionally a game of give and 
                    take, trading a promotion attempt for a possible finesse. 
                    But it’s the best offer the opponents give us so we might as 
                    well make the best of it. While fourth best leads are often 
                    a sound practice, we should consider other
                    
                    environmental factors such as the bidding, the final 
                    contract, and hand attributes when choosing our most 
                    profitable lead. 
                    Before we get down to the nitty-gritty, a quick review of 
                    sequence leads will provide us a sound foundation. Often, 
                    sequences of 3 or more connected honor combinations can be 
                    powerful forces to setup a longer suit to win the promotion 
                    race. When we lead the top of our honor sequence, our partner 
                    should immediately understand we have a long suit.  It would 
                    not make sense to lead an “unprotected” honor (not adjoining 
                    other honors), so normally an honor lead shows a sequence of 
                    3+ connected cards (ore nearly so). 
                    Remember, this lesson focuses on Notrump contracts so our 
                    lead criteria will change when opponents are playing a suit 
                    contracts. For instance, it's usually unwise to "underlead" 
                    a fourth best lead when holding an Ace. For suit contracts, 
                    should we mistakenly lead a low card away from our Ace and 
                    opponent holds a singleton King, we probably lose at least 
                    one trick. Declarer will ruff our Ace and perhaps promote 
                    their Queen or pitch a second card on a dummy winner in a 
                    side suit. Fortunately, our honor sequence leads are the 
                    same regardless of the final contract. 
                    At any rate, this month we’re focusing on Notrump 
                    contracts so leading away from an Ace is usually fine and 
                    dandy. When the suit is replayed, we hope to win our Ace and 
                    many more on our long suit. Aces make unbeatable entries in 
                    Notrump contracts to help us promote our long suit – that’s 
                    an important reason why we don’t lead our Aces in a Notrump 
                    contract; otherwise we many not have an entry later when we 
                    most need it. Okay, let’s begin looking at sequence leads.
                    K Q J 9 2       Lead the King
Q J 10 9 4 2    Lead the Queen
J 10 9 7        Lead the Jack
                    When you hold a honor sequence with the top 2 honors 
                    connected:
                    K Q 10 4    Lead the King (adjoining top)
Q J 9 4 2   Lead the Queen (adjoining top)
10 9 7 4 2  Best suit? Optimists lead the 10
                    When you hold a honor sequence with the top 2 broken 
                    honors (interior sequence):
                    K J 10 4    Lead the Jack (adjoining top)
Q 10 9 4 2  Lead the 10 (adjoining top)
10 8 7 4 2  Not worthy of promotion
A Q J 10 5  Lead Queen (adjoining top)
                    Without a connected honor sequence – perhaps only one, we 
                    normally lead our fourth best card. In addition to helping 
                    promote a long suit with strength, we advise partner of our 
                    long suit. Even better, our fourth best lead signals partner 
                    to use the “Rule of 11” to calculate how many outstanding 
                    honors are held by the opponents. Here’s the formula: 11 – 
                    lead card value = remaining cards above the lead card spot 
                    value. Let’s try a few lead examples – you can remove a suit 
                    from a deck of cards to prove this formula really works:
                    
          Lead   Cards 
                    outstanding
                    1. 11  –   8   =   3     
                    Three remaining above the 8
                    2. 11  -   7   =   4     
                    Four remaining above the 7
                    3. 11  -   6   =   5     
                    Five remaining above the 6
                    4. 11  -   2   =   9     
                    Nine remaining above the 2
 
                    Incidentally, if partner leads their fourth best, the 
                    lead of a 2 shows they have exactly four cards (assuming 
                    they are not leading a 3 card suit for some reason). 
                    Why is the Rule of 11 significant, you ask? Of course, we 
                    always want to cooperate with our partner so it helps to 
                    know where the remaining high cards are held. This helps us 
                    understand the declarer’s assets when promoting the opening 
                    leader’s long suit. After partner leads and the dummy is 
                    exposed, you not only see two hands (yours and dummy’s), you 
                    can now calculate the declarer’s remaining high cards in 
                    partner’s led suit. 
                    On #2 above, 11- 7 = 4. If dummy exposes one card above 
                    partner’s 7 and you hold two cards above the 7, then only 
                    one card remains above the 7 in the declarer’s hand, as:
                    
           9 3 2
                    
                    A J 8 7 5          
                    K 10
                    
           Q 6 4
                    When the play comes around to us (East), without knowing 
                    declarer’s cards we can deduce declarer's honor must be an 
                    Ace, Queen, or the Jack (we can see our King, 10, and 
                    dummy’s 9). Being a good partner, we go up with our King, 
                    normally playing third hand high.
                    
                    When declarer does not win the trick, we realize we should 
                    return the 10 so partner can pin South’s Queen to take the 
                    first 5 tricks.   
                    Now let’s look at a hand where the Rule of 11 really pays 
                    off. Partner leads the 3, so: 11 – 3 = 8. Here are the 
                    hands:
                    
          Q 9 5 4
                    
                    A 10 6 3            
                    K J 8 7
                    
            2
                    Play begins with partner’s 3, dummy’s 5 and it’s our 
                    play. Do we automatically play third hand high? Hopefully 
                    not for several reasons! First, we should never play the 
                    King – if we decide to play “high”, the Jack would be a more 
                    efficient play. Declarer South cannot hold the Queen so if 
                    we play the Jack, our King remains to pin the dummy’s Queen 
                    on a subsequent play. This concept is known as playing from 
                    “lowest equals”, meaning third hand player should hold 
                    “cover cards” over the dummy’s potential winners. 
                    Yet before jumping up with a high card in third seat, 
                    let’s see if we can learn more about the declarer’s hand 
                    using the Rule of 11. 11 – 3 = 8. Dummy exposes four cards 
                    above leader's 3. Well, small wonder – we have four cards 
                    above the 3 in our hand as well! Interesting - the declarer 
                    cannot beat the lead of the 3! If we don’t use the Rule of 
                    11, we go up with the Jack, win the King, play to partner’s 
                    Ace, giving dummy the fourth trick with the remaining Queen. 
                    But if you play the lowly 7 on the first trick which smartly 
                    wins (etiquette says we should try not to look smug), return 
                    to partner’s Ace,  your remaining King-Jack have the 
                    dummy’s Queen pinned. Ah, the joys of nicely executed 
                    promotion and a finesse – well done! 
                    The subject of which card to lead from an honor-less suit 
                    has two schools of thought. While some still advocate 
                    leading their fourth best card, others insist the lead 
                    should promise honor values; the lead from honor cohorts 
                    recommend leading the top card or second from top to warn 
                    partner you do not wish to see the suit continued. This 
                    tactic works well when making a neutral, passive lead as 
                    dictated by bidding, contract, and the leader’s holding. 
                    When the leader’s partner tries the Rule of 11, the result 
                    is a negative number – warning partner the leader has no 
                    interest in the suit. Example 11 – 8 = 3. Yet if you have 
                    two cards above the 8 and the dummy holds three, then the 
                    declarer would have less than zero. Forget “the rule” in 
                    that situation and begin looking for another suit. 
                    Next we will explore which suit to lead against 
                    opponents’ Notrump contract. Earlier we mentioned the 
                    importance of the bidding, the final contract, and the 
                    leader’s holding. Let’s say the bidding goes:
                    
  W     N     E     
                    S
  P -  (P) –  P – (1N);
  P - (2N) –  P – (3N);
                    As West, here’s what we have learned from this auction:
                    
                    1. North did not open: less than 13 points
                    2. Partner (East) also has less than 13 points
                    3. South shows a balanced Notrump hand
                    4. North has invitational values.  If opponents would
                    
    normally bid conventions (Stayman, Jacoby 
    Transfers) to find a major suit fit, the responder’s 
    lack to do so here implies responder probably has
    a 4 or 5 card minor suit.
                    5. South accepts the game invite, showing the upper 
    end of the Notrump opening values.
                    Now let’s look at various hands to determine our opening 
                    lead:
                    
                    S   A Q 10 7 2
                    H   7
                    D   9 6 3 2
                    C   8 7 6
                    Leading the Spade 7 is ideal, especially if partner has 
                    the Spade King – perhaps making 5 quick tricks. Even if 
                    partner holds the Spade Jack, if partner can get in and 
                    return a Spade, there is a good chance to win 4 tricks. 
                    Actually, a nice attribute of this hand is not having too 
                    many honors. Since opponents bidding shows they barely have 
                    enough to bid game (25-26 points) and we hold 6 points, 
                    partner rates to hold around 8 points. Maybe partner has an 
                    Ace and a King – on this hand, we’d love to see partner win 
                    and return a Spade. Hopefully partner is awake and using the 
                    “Rule of 11”, 11 – 7 = 4 outstanding cards above your Spade 
                    7. By the way, leading away from double tenaces is best with 
                    a five card suit; with a four card suit, consider a 
                    different lead. With the same auction, consider your lead 
                    with this hand :
                    
                    S   A 7
                    H   K J 7 3
                    D   3 2
                    C   K 10 9 6 4
                    While our Heart honors are better than those in our Club 
                    suit, we normally lead our five card suit with a primary 
                    honor. If the four card suit has an extra honor, three 
                    versus two, then we should lead the honor bound suit. 
                    Speaking of triple honor suits, here’s our next hand:
                    
                    S   Q J 9
                    H   K Q 10 8 7
                    D   A 3
                    C   10 9 8
                    A Heart lead works well on this hand and since we do have 
                    touching honors, we lead the King – the top of our adjacent 
                    sequence. We appreciate our outside entry, the Diamond Ace, 
                    which provides a helpful entry later when opponents try to 
                    promote their long Diamond suit. Note that if we led our 
                    fourth best lead of the Heart 8, opponents might have two 
                    winners: the Jack and Ace. Leading the King may hold them to 
                    one trick, especially if an opponent holds a Jack doubleton. 
                    Incidentally, don’t expect help from partner on this hand. 
                    With opponent’s 25- 26 points and our 12 points, partner 
                    does not hold the Heart Ace. Yet we would be happy if 
                    partner held only the precious Heart Jack on this hand. Did you 
                    consider leading the Spades or Club suit? While they are sequence suits, your best 
                    bet is to promote the powerful Heart suit with three honors. 
                    Here’s a hand almost devoid of points (same auction):
                    
                    S   J 10
                    H   9 3
                    D   10 8 6 5
                    C   9 8 7 3 2
                    It’s highly unlikely this hand will get on lead again so 
                    choose your lead wisely. First off, remember that Bridge is 
                    not a solo venture – you do have a partner with a lovely 
                    hand! This is a good time to forget those funky minors and 
                    focus on your partner’s majors with lots of entries! After 
                    all, since opponents didn’t try to find a major suit game, 
                    partner must have a heap (we don’t). Choosing among the 
                    majors, the Spade suit is far better so lead your Spade Jack 
                    – the best sequence you have to offer. If conditions are 
                    right, you might be a hero by pinning one of the dummy’s 
                    honors. 
                    This time we’ll boost our hand to an Ace and a flat 
                    4=3=3=3 shape:
                    
                    S   A 9 5 4
                    H   8 6 4
                    D   5 3 2
                    C   7 5 3
                    Okay, only 4 points here. Opponents 25-26 plus our 4 
                    leaves 10-11 points for partner. Leading the Spade 4 seems 
                    reasonable but may cost your side tricks when declarer holds 
                    the King or Queen. Instead, consider leading the Heart 8 – a 
                    passive lead telling partner you do not have interest in 
                    that suit based on the “Rule of 11”. Perhaps partner holds a 
                    Spade honor sequence (ideally Queen-Jack) and can pin 
                    declarer's Spade King. Regardless, your Ace is unlikely to 
                    go away – when you get in the lead, you can always cooperate 
                    with whichever suit pleases partner, considering partner's 
                    10-11 points to establish a suit. 
                    Let’s keep the same hand but the bidding is quite 
                    different:
                    
 W      N       E       
                    S
 P  - (1D) – P – (1H);
 P  - (3D) – P – (3N);
                    This time the dummy promises a powerful Diamond suit with 
                    6+ cards, which declarer will undoubtedly promote at the 
                    first opportunity. So forget the passive Heart lead, 
                    particularly since declarer bid the suit. With the 
                    threatening Diamond suit, make the aggressive lead of the 
                    Spade 4 and hope for the best. Okay, here’s a new auction 
                    and hand:
                    
 W     N        E       
                    S
 P  -   (P) - P  - (1H);
 P – (1S) - P  - (1N);
 P – (2N) - P  - (3N);
                    
                    S   10 8 3
                    H   9 7 5
                    D   Q 10 7 2
                    C   A 9 3 2
                    Actually, this auction is quite illuminating. The 
                    opponents did not find a major suit fit, slowly working 
                    their way into a 3 Notrump contract. So with the choice 
                    between the remaining suits, favor the Aceless suit. Why? 
                    The Ace always gives you an entry to promote partner’s 
                    favorite suit. If partner holds the Diamond King-Jack, all 
                    is well – even better holding the Diamond Ace. So lead the 
                    fourth best Diamond 2; partner will know you hold four (you 
                    do lead fourth best, after all) and have an honor. 
                    Normally it’s not a good idea to lead a suit bid by the 
                    opponents, particularly when the bidding indicates the suit 
                    is 5+ cards in length. Yet when opponents began with a 
                    “convenient minor”, perhaps 3 or 4 cards in length, your 
                    lead from a long minor suit with accompanying honors may 
                    generate extra tricks. 
                    
  W      N       E      
                    S
  P - (1C) – P – (1S);
  P - (1N) – P – (2N);
  P - (3N) - AP;
                    
                    S   A 8 6
                    H   7 3
                    D   10 4 2
                    C   Q J 10 5 3
                    Lead the Club Queen, a nice top of sequence play. If 
                    partner has either the Ace or King, your side may take 4 
                    Clubs and the Spade Ace to set the contract. On the next 
                    auction, South jumps up with a 2 Notrump opener:
                     W     N     E    S
 P - (P)  –  P – (2N);
 P - (3N) – AP;
S   Q J 9 8 4 3
H   K 6 2
D   Q 7 3
C   10
                    Recall we lead the top of adjacent honors, here it’s the 
                    Spade Queen. The hands might look like this:
                    
            2
            J 10 5
            Q J 4 2
            Q 9 7 6 2
                    Q J 9 8 4 3         
                    K 10
                    9 6 2                   
                    K 7 4 3
                    K 7 3                   
                    6 5
                    10                      
                    J 8 5 4 3
            A 7 6 5
            A Q 8
            A 10 9 8
            A K
                    Hopefully our partner East is awake and covers our Queen 
                    with the King. Leading our Queen promises the Jack and 
                    either the 10 or the 9. Since East holds the 10, it's clear 
                    West holds the 9 and more Spades – probably many more since 
                    dummy has a singleton and East only holds a doubleton. But 
                    what happens if East supposedly “saves” the King and plays 
                    the 10? Declarer South can see a problem with the suit and 
                    should hold back winning the trick (see Rule of 7). West 
                    continues the suit and East must now win with the King yet 
                    cannot continue the suit – how unfortunate! We can see South 
                    has only 5 quick tricks, needing 4 more to make the 3 
                    Notrump contract. The dummy Club Queen and three Diamonds 
                    will do the trick, with South happily giving up the lead 
                    once to bring the contract home (still holding the Spade 
                    Ace). A thoughtful East will unblock the opening lead by 
                    covering with the Spade King and return the favor with the 
                    10. 
                    This play allows West to set the contract – the Spade 
                    suit is now established and when West wins the Diamond King, 
                    the party is over for declarer who also loses 5 Spade 
                    tricks. Last month we saw how the opener needs to be careful 
                    to unblock a long suit by playing the top card from the 
                    short suit side to provide a critical entry to the dummy 
                    hand. Notice the parallel here – West must play the top card 
                    from the short suit side to unblock the suit, providing 
                    partner a similar entry. 
                    What should we lead when partner has bid and the 
                    opponents end up in a Notrump contract? Remember, Bridge is 
                    a partnership game – keep your partner happy by leading the 
                    bid suit unless you either have a stunning play or are 
                    prepared to apologize for not listening to partner's request 
                    for your help. Next hand, partner overcalls 1 Diamond showing 5 or more, 
                    opponents end up in Notrump and it’s your lead:
                    S   9 3
H   K 8 7 4 2
D   K 8 5
C   8 4 3
                    Initially you hoped to lead your Heart 4, however you 
                    being a good partner, you lead your Diamond 5 to help the 
                    team effort. When holding a doubleton in partner’s suit, 
                    initially lead the top card. Holding the King and 8 against 
                    a Notrump contract, lead the King to help partner promote 
                    the suit. But how about when partner makes a preemptive bid 
                    and you have a suit of your own:
                    W     N     E    S
P - (P)  – 3D – (3N);
S   K Q J 9 7
H   10 6 5
D   9 6
C   K 4 3
                    Apparently South has a Diamond stopper, but with our own 
                    honor sequence lead and the outside Club King entry, this 
                    time we have a reason to be disobedient and lead our Spade 
                    King. If all works well, we may get four Spades, one Club 
                    and perhaps a Diamond from partner. 
                    Finally, let’s consider leads against Notrump slam 
                    contracts. If we have a nice Queen high honor sequence or 
                    above, by all means lead the suit. If partner bids a suit or 
                    doubles opponents’ artificial bid, our lead direction is 
                    also clear. But the majority of opponents’ slam auctions are 
                    not quite so easy for us to discern our best lead. Unlike 
                    Notrump contracts beneath slam, when the opponents have 33+ 
                    points and we do not have an obvious lead direction, we 
                    should make a passive lead. In opponents' 3 Notrump 
                    contracts, we're assured to win several tricks so promotion 
                    is our mantra. In opponents' slam contract, it's a real 
                    challenge to grab two tricks. Of course, when you do not 
                    have any honors the lead is fairly easy – your only criteria 
                    is to avoid finessing partner’s possible honors; leading an 
                    unbid suit often is a safe lead. When you hold an Ace, King 
                    or Queen without an assisting honor, consider leading 
                    another suit, unless of course they bid a grandslam contract 
                    and your Ace immediately sets the contract! Similarly, if 
                    the opponents had a bidding misunderstanding going too high 
                    and you have an inspired lead, go for it. In summary, the 
                    general idea when opponents bid slam is to make them earn 
                    all their tricks by making a passive lead (next month we 
                    will see the opposite is true when opponents bid slam in a 
                    suit contract). 
                    Next month, we will delve into opening leads against suit 
                    contracts. Some leads such as the sequence card combinations 
                    will follow what we’ve already learned, yet we have quite a 
                    few new techniques to learn so stay tuned.
                    
                    
                    You can always review this promotion lesson at 
                    BridgeHands