The 
                Hookers Know Best
                
                
                North (dummy)
                Q J 8 4
                
                
                South
                A 10 7 6 5 3
                
                Assuming no other considerations, the question is: with 10 cards 
                missing the king, should declarer finesse or play for the drop?
                Many 
                players think that it is correct to play for the drop here, but 
                that is not correct. The right answer is:
                
                With 
                10 cards missing the king, the percentage play is to finesse 
                rather than play for the drop.
                
                
                Because understanding is always preferable to simple 
                memorization, let’s try to learn why the finesse is the 
                percentage play.
                
                Explaining the logic for some suit combinations is difficult to 
                do with actual cards, let alone a few pages in a book. However, 
                because E-W have only three cards in the suit, I believe that an 
                easy-to-understand presentation can be achieved. I also hope 
                that once you’re exposed to the correct thought process, it will 
                enable you to also understand the logic of other suit 
                combinations.
                
                
                
                
                {N-S 
                cards repeated for convenience}
                
                
                
                North (dummy)
                
                Q J 8 4
                
                West                    
                East
                
                South
                
                A 10 7 6 5 3
                
                The 
                opponents’ three cards are the king, nine, and two.  First, 
                let’s define a couple of useful terms. I refer to the group who 
                believe that playing for the drop is correct as “the droppers.” 
                I used to refer to players who prefer the finesse as “the 
                finessers.” However, 
because “hook” is a 
                colloquial bridge synonym for “finesse,” I prefer to call 
                this group “the hookers”  (which is also easier to spell).
                
                The 
                first order of business is to identify (and dismiss) the E-W 
                holdings where declarer’s technique does not make any 
                difference.
                If 
                East started with the singleton king, both the hookers and the 
                droppers will be happy campers.
                On the 
                other hand, if West started with K 2, K 9 or K 9 2, declarer 
                will always lose a trick in the suit.
                
                
                © 2006 - Marty Bergen